This video came across my radar a week or so ago.  It’s a long listen, but well worth it.  Dr. Peter Zeihan goes into some of the economics and demographics of the collapse of the post-war world order.  Some of these trends have gone into the background to the Maelstrom Rising series already.  Zeihan’s talk has further fleshed some of them out.

Now, I don’t necessarily agree with his entire forecast.  I think he’s overlooking a number of, shall we say, violent variables.  His outlook is almost entirely economic and demographic, leaving aside some of the potential impacts of violent ideology, desperation politics, terrorism, and “hybrid” Fourth Generation Warfare.  Many of these variables have the potential to derail the economics he’s talking about.

The demographics can also lead into some of these problems.  As was mentioned in a discussion of this video, the solution to demographic problems has occasionally been “foreign adventures.”

All of that said, the Maelstrom Rising series is predicated on the trends that Zeihan outlines.  The difference is, the crisis brought about by these trends leads to desperation.  And desperate governments can do things that, in the long run, are extremely destructive and stupid.  Maelstrom Rising is about the consequences of that desperation.

Setting the Stage: Peter Zeihan on Economics and Demographics

Peter Nealen

Peter Nealen is a former Reconnaissance Marine and veteran of Iraq and Afghanistan. He deployed to Iraq in 2005-2006, and again in 2007, with 1st Platoon, Bravo Company, 1st Recon Bn. After two years of schools and workups, including Scout/Sniper Basic and Team Leader's Courses, he deployed to Afghanistan with 4th Platoon, Force Reconnaissance Company, I MEF. Since he got out, he's been writing, authoring many articles and 24 books, mostly Action/Adventure and Military Thrillers, with some excursions into Paranormal Fantasy and Science Fiction.

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